As some of you know, the Qatari riyal -- like the other Gulf Cooperation Council currencies -- is pegged to the dollar. A riyal is, by definition, 27 cents; it never varies. An Emirati dirham is the same; a Saudi riyal is a smidgen less. I don't think I've ever heard a historic explanation for this, but I suppose it's because oil is always sold in dollars, so the GCC economies are effectively tied to the dollar no matter what.
However, the dollar is doing
abysmally lately, which isn't very good for the countries that are (effectively) using it as their currency. In a bid to reduce inflation, Kuwait
depegged from the dollar earlier this year, leading to rampant speculation about whether the other GCC countries would follow suit. Qatar
denies plans to depeg, but of course that doesn't tell us anything, since depegging can't be announced in advance.
Yesterday, as you probably know, the Fed cut interest rates -- and Saudi Arabia notably
did not. That seems to be a sign that Saudi is going to depeg, too. I wonder what that will mean for the Qatari riyal?